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Hurricane Florence

 
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Old 09-10-2018, 07:57 PM   #21
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Re: Hurricane Florence


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Originally Posted by superseal View Post
Wait till she picks up on the north Atlantic drift of the GS...she could possibly hit a Cat 5 quite close to the coast...very, very rare event indeed that far north.

The wind field size doubled today alone, as if going from a 1 to 4 in six hours isn't bad enough. I've got friends down there that are going to lose their homes in the back bays and it's only a matter of days.

I'll go on record and say she's bringing a 20ft+ surge and wave heights [email protected] 40+ as she approaches shallow waters.
Hope you're wrong. That's Andrew type destruction.
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Old 09-10-2018, 07:58 PM   #22
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Re: Hurricane Florence


I'll look more tonight at some of the local guys who are super hurricane nerds and get their take.
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Old 09-10-2018, 07:58 PM   #23
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Re: Hurricane Florence


This summer has been good for one thing... I now know with certainty where every point of entry is for water on the entire house.

The answer is above, below, and a little bit on the sides.

Hoping this thing peters out before bumming too many people out. Looks like Bermuda is ok at least.
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Old 09-10-2018, 08:04 PM   #24
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Re: Hurricane Florence


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NHC forecasters say that further strengthening is anticipated, and Florence is expected to be an extremely dangerous major hurricane through Thursday.
Water temps are pretty high off the coasts.
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Old 09-10-2018, 08:06 PM   #25
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Re: Hurricane Florence


While I was falling asleep last night, the thought ran through my mind that it would be crazy if the already saturated ground, plus hurricane rains, caused another tree to fall on the house that we are about two months from completing after gutting it from the last tree...

What are the odds... I hope I'm not jinxing us typing this out.
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Old 09-10-2018, 08:10 PM   #26
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Re: Hurricane Florence


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Originally Posted by MarkJames View Post
No, but I put a sump pump , temporarily, in the problematic window well.

This has been mostly a [email protected] weather year on the east coast, by my reckoning. Wet - hot - wet - b.s.!
Hence, the very warm waters (hence, the rapid intensification)

This will be the perfect storm...
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Old 09-10-2018, 08:16 PM   #27
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Re: Hurricane Florence


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Originally Posted by Xtrememtnbiker View Post
While I was falling asleep last night, the thought ran through my mind that it would be crazy if the already saturated ground, plus hurricane rains, caused another tree to fall on the house that we are about two months from completing after gutting it from the last tree...

What are the odds... I hope I'm not jinxing us typing this out.
I've got a 30 year old maple...right on the property line. When I had the 6' chain link fence put in, they made it a 3 sided box around it.

I've had it topped twice and hate to cut it down as it supplies a lot of shade in the afternoon.

It's huge (4'-4.5' diameter) and branches out about 8' from the ground into 3 more huge trunks. Every time the wind blows hard...that's what's on my mind...that tree.

Latest estimate to take her down...$3K

I hate hurricanes...mostly because of that tree.
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Old 09-10-2018, 08:18 PM   #28
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Re: Hurricane Florence


We've had plenty of rain here the the past few days.

My basement, that "never" gets water, leaked a bit. Found out the culprit is a huge maple tree we have 20 feet or so from the house has grown big enough roots to cut off the drainage swale.

Well I fixed those roots yesterday with the mini ex.

Getting geared up for the generator...just in case.

The Governor here called State of Emergency today, claims we could have 10" of rain...
that's more than we can handle on a good day, let alone once the ground has been soaked for a week.

Hang on fellas, it should be an interesting week or so.
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Old 09-10-2018, 08:32 PM   #29
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Re: Hurricane Florence


This is one of the nice things about New England. We generally don’t have to worry about a direct hit from these storms. Man, I hope it settles down and leaves everyone alone. It’s been a rough go and we are only in the beginning of the season.
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Old 09-10-2018, 08:35 PM   #30
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Re: Hurricane Florence


https://noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/Ma...028b67c50a7e48

Nobody's talking about the counter rotation of the system over Cuba...it's like reverse shear only adding to the intensification...The ominus mainstream weather reports should be in full bloom by morning I would reckon.

Damn NOAA keeps crashing...probably due to panic in the "nerd" community.
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Old 09-10-2018, 08:51 PM   #31
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Re: Hurricane Florence


Consider me a nerd.
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Old 09-10-2018, 08:54 PM   #32
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Re: Hurricane Florence


Remember the angle of approach (Sandy), shallow shores of the region...He mentions if she hits NC, it would be the furthermost strike of a Cat 4 on record...completely unprecedented... and if by chance approaches cat 5 like I'm thinking, completely unforecastable.

https://www.axios.com/hurricane-flor...2bb54bf37.html
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Last edited by superseal; 09-10-2018 at 08:59 PM.
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Old 09-10-2018, 08:59 PM   #33
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Re: Hurricane Florence


There's actually flooding at the jersey shore right now.

https://patch.com/new-jersey/oceanci...an-city-monday

Last edited by MarkJames; 09-10-2018 at 09:03 PM.
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Old 09-10-2018, 09:03 PM   #34
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Re: Hurricane Florence


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There's actually flooding at the jersey shore right now. What's up with that?
Our pounding rains over the weekend and the last storms 2 weeks ago are all washing down the expressway
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Old 09-10-2018, 09:04 PM   #35
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Re: Hurricane Florence


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There's actually flooding at the jersey shore right now. What's up with that?
Heavy rains coming from the west. I had almost 6" in the last 48 hours...in Delaware.
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Old 09-10-2018, 09:24 PM   #36
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Re: Hurricane Florence


Thank goodness we know how to fix stuff...and assess the potential problems. God help my neighbor, who can hardly boil water as a life skill. (Actually, I'll be helping the neighbor..I just meant the mental strain.)
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Old 09-10-2018, 09:30 PM   #37
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Re: Hurricane Florence


I remember a couple years back strong storm came up the East Coast and took a left turn to Florida, nobody on the East Coast is out of range!
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Old 09-10-2018, 09:34 PM   #38
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Re: Hurricane Florence


I've got lot's of friends in the Outer Banks of NC. Praying for everyone in Florence's Path...

This guy is pretty good for hurricane insights:

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Old 09-10-2018, 09:55 PM   #39
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Re: Hurricane Florence


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Originally Posted by Sir Mixalot View Post
I've got lot's of friends in the Outer Banks of NC. Praying for everyone in Florence's Path...

This guy is pretty good for hurricane insights:

https://youtu.be/nJYURnnfgWw


My friend lives on Ocrakoke. I know him well and he is probably already headed to his BIL in VA.

And speaking of VA, supposed to head down to Richmond Friday night to pick up the wife's new Jeep Grand Cherokee on Saturday.
Well, maybe not.
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Old 09-10-2018, 11:05 PM   #40
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Re: Hurricane Florence


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Originally Posted by Robie View Post
As of today, 5:45 PM

Attachment 467519
So when will they blame it on HARPP?

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